It's just a guess.  Here's what I think will happen though.  We've got this round of bad news now that will pass.  More folks will jump aboard as they realize bitcoin is still here.  Hopefully we'll get some good news with a real American exchange this year and just general stability with bitcoin and instability with some foreign currencies.

Going from 1 dollar to 1000 dollars is a 1000 fold increase.  Going from 500 to 5000 is only a 10 fold increase.

Certainly there would be good news coming in few weeks/ months which will push Bitcoin's price higher but I think 5K would still be a bit difficult. I will be happy to see its price about 1.5K or 2K. It should grow slow and steady.

By the way the performance of XNF is also not that bad from 0-over $5 in a month :-)

Bitcoin still has a very small market cap.  When you don't have to convert to dollars anymore the fluctuations will be much, much smaller.  Imagine having a 2 trillion dollar market cap and greater.

Bitcoin's small market cap is probably because of its future uncertainty. Today again bitcoin prices are down by 13%. This again does not seem natural. Whom to blame and who is out there to look for such unnatural price movement? If the price volatility is natural then is it not for majority of people.

The beauty of a centralized currency system is that someone is out there to manage crisis, take blame and manage everything for all stakeholders.